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Washington • If you trust political forecasters, you can already tell Mia Love congratulations.
And Reps. Rob Bishop, Jason Chaffetz and Chris Stewart deserve a pat on their backs for claiming re-election to the House.
Several prognosticators suggest a high probability of a GOP sweep in Utah's House races with Love defeating Democrat Doug Owens and the rest of the delegation keeping their titles in landslides. The Washington Post's Monkey Cage offers a 99 percent likelihood that all of Utah's four districts will go to Republicans.
So I guess there's still that 1 percent chance that anything can happen.
The widely respected Cook Political Report shows Bishop, Chaffetz and Stewart in solid Republican seats with little if any chance of an upset. The report says the 4th District seat home of the Love-Owens matchup is likely to go Republican. To be fair, the same analysts said that the district was leaning Republican in 2012 when Democrat Jim Matheson edged past Love.
That's the thing about forecasts. They can be spot on or horribly off, as you might recall that day you left your umbrella at home and got soaked.
Analysts, like Nate Silver of ESPN's FiveThirtyEight blog, combine demographic data and polling and historic trends and other data sets to come up with probabilities.
In solidly red Utah, in districts that are majority GOP, it's a pretty fair assessment to suggest the Republicans will win.
The latest polling in the Love-Owens match shows her up by 9 percentage points, a number the Democrat disputes.
Love has spent $3.7 million in the race, compared with about $400,000 by Owens.
No national parties are playing in the race, with Republicans going on the offense in several close races and Democrats trying to hold on to what they can.
Rep. Steve Israel, D-N.Y., chairman of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, noted in a briefing that this year wouldn't be as bad as the Democrats' losses in 2010 and that 2016 would be better for the party, according to The Washington Post.
But he didn't want to say just how bad it would be this time around.
"What would you say would be a disappointing night for Republicans?" a reporter asked, according to The Post.
"Forgive me, but I don't know," Israel said.
"What would be acceptable losses?" another reporter inquired.
"I'm not going to go there. I'm just not going to go there."
On the Senate side, Silver's FiveThirtyEight blog suggests a 60.8 percent chance that Republicans take control of the chamber and a nearly one-in-five shot of grabbing 52 seats to Democrats' 48.
Such a scenario would leave President Barack Obama facing a Congress controlled by the opposing party, with Utah offering up a full delegation of GOP members who aren't too keen on his agenda.
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Burr has reported for The Salt Lake Tribune for nearly a decade from Washington, D.C. He can be reached at firstname.lastname@example.org or via Twitter @thomaswburr.